Archive for January, 2012

31
Jan
12

50F today, and it’s 2 days from Groundhog Day!

Wow, and the temps weren’t even record-breakers! Temps today broke 50F in most of the Mohawk Valley and south, and even north of Rome/Utica, they reached well into the 40s. The mild weather continues tonight and most of tomorrow, with lows only in the mid-upper 30s, and highs Wednesday again well up into the 40s, maybe 50F briefly again! As for rain or snow (yeah, right!), expect some fog and mist tonight, and a little light rain Wednesady morning. That’s really it, through Sunday..maybe longer. Skies will break up a bit later tomorrow and Thursday, but I think alot of clouds will linger, until Thursday night. Friday could be bright, Saturday a little less so, then more so on Sunday. Temps will turn a little cooler after tomorrow.

As for Groundhog Day, I’ll be there, to bring back the “feel” of the entire event, and I’m pretty sure I know what Phil will predict…and early Spring. If I’m not mistaken, he usually goes 6 more weeks of Winter, so forecasting an early Spring is not his usual forecast.

Weather for Saturday’s “Walk a Mile in my Shoes” looks chilly, but fine.

30
Jan
12

Another coating of snow on the way…

A warm front without the attached storm (kind of a rare event, because they are usually the first part OF an entire storm, with the cold front being the final part of it), will pass through the area slowly tonight and tomorrow morning. It will result in a light but steady snowfall after 9pm tonight, until near daybreak Tuesday. I think southern parts of the area (Sherburne, Oneonta), will only pick up 1, maybe 2 inches. The middle part of our area (Ilion, Waterville, Oneida, Utica, Rome) will get 2-3 inches, and northern parts will get a bit more (3-5?) because the front will likely stall in the Adirondacks…and snow will slow down but not stop, up there, Tuesday.

Temps are another big story because they are going to soar (for January/February). Tonight, near 23F but rising after midnight, but tomorrow, by evening, near 43F, and only falling off a few degrees at night to about 38F, then climbing again to about 47 Wednesday! So, if I were a betting weatherman, with Phil’s announcement coming early Thursday, I’d be betting the farm on an “early spring” forecast!

27
Jan
12

Heavy clouds through Sunday

Even with the storm moving away, I don’t know that we see any sunshine here through the weekend. Tonight, the flurries will come to an end either side of midnight, which could grease up roadways a little bit, so be aware. Lows tonight should average mid 20s. Saturday and Sunday look very similar, meteorologicially. Mostly grey, with later day or evening flurries, no big deal either day. Highs upper 30s or 40F. Monday, a little sun, near 30 for the high. No big snows in sight yet…and Punxatauney Phil speaks next Thursday, so we’ll get the final word on Winter, then.

26
Jan
12

Snow to rain, with slowly rising temps

Most of us saw snow at the start, but the storm track dictates that you shouldn’t get hopeful of something b igger, because with it being to our west again, it insures a changeover to rain by 7pm Thruway south, and by 9PM everywhere but northern Herkimer and all of Hamilton Counties. Up there, they could get 3-5″ before rain mixes in. But for 90% of us, it’s rainy tonight with slowly rising temps (from 32F to 38F by morning). Occasional rain Friday, till early afternoon. When the storm has passed us by, it’s winds will yank a cold front through, which shifts the wind from south to west, winds increase, air temps begin to fall, and rain may end as several hours of snow Friday PM. Both weekend days look very similar, with mostly cloudy days, and flurries later both afternoons and evenings…but with little/if any accumulation.

It’s a week from Groundhog Day, and I already know what he’ll see and say. My maps tell me he WON’T see his shadow, and it will therefore be an early Spring. Course, Winter hardly ever arrived, so this will come as a shock to nearly no one, by next Thursday!

25
Jan
12

Heavy clouds through tomorrow, then light rain

Clouds will not go away before the next storm arrives, which is tomorrow night. Expect cloudy weather, lows tonight in the mid 20s. Highs Thursday should reach the late 30s late in the day, when the rain arrives, ergo rain, not snow or ice. Light rain overnight, ends near daybreak…with nearly steady temps (above 32F). I think there will be a brief wedge of clearing early Friday, but a cold front will come through near midday, so temps will be warmest early, and then with the front, I expect an hour or two of snow showers. fast moving systems will swing through Saturday and again Sunday, but when systems move through fast, that usually means they are weak…as they have scant little time to gather warmth or cold or moisture or dry air in their travels. So, I only expect flurries both Saturday and again Sunday.

24
Jan
12

Stubborn clouds

A storm long since departed and moving through Newfoundland has so much cloudiness wrapped around it, the clouds wont dissipate until 2 days after the storm has left us. If there were some significant wind, even that would help break them up, but the only real wind is coming off Lake Ontario into Lewis County, bringing a little bit of snow shower activity, so that can’t help. I think the clouds will finally break up Wednesday late morning…and there may be a couple flakes in these clouds, till then. Temps tonight should bottom out in the mid 20s, climb to the mid 30s tomorrow, and upper 30s to 40 Thursday and early Friday. That is our next “storm”, though it wont be much. Clouds will reappear Thursday afternoon and eve, and either light snow or rain should develop overnight. Either way, it looks like it will end as light snow Friday morning, thanks to winds off the Lake. It’s the week of weak storms though, as flurries may return Saturday, with a little more Lake Effect Sunday.

23
Jan
12

Wet night tonight, but a pretty quiet week ahead

Soggy weather this evening, as a series of rain bands moves through. Temps should hold in the upper 30s to mid 40s through midnight, before a cool front clears the air up and cools temps off a little bit. Tuesday looks partly sunny and Wednesday even brighter, as a couple bubbles of high pressure (fair weather-maker) move through in succession. The next storm is expected to increase clouds Thursday, and the way it looks now, expect light rain in the evening, ending as wet snow early Friday. Both weekend days may have a little snow, fyi, and temps will gradually cool off through then.